Among the most essential questions that people want the answer to right now is ‘when will the COVID-19 pandemic come to an end?’
While scientists haven’t (and can’t) promise a date, there are particular speculations that mass vaccination would stop the spread of this infection and help bring back society into normal possible in a post-COVID-19 world.
The advent of vaccination has certainly been one of the significant improvements in health care. It’s helped control the spread of a lot of ailments. As a result of the vaccination programs, it has been 40 years since smallpox, a disfiguring and deadly disease caused by the variola virus, was eradicated from the world.
The good news is that elimination may happen. New Zealand appears to have achieved elimination along with other countries, such as Vietnam, South Korea, and Australia will soon follow suit. However, in most nations, including India, Covid-19 seems to be reaching its peak height and the curve is not yet known. The purpose here is to test to unpack the procedures through which Covid-19 epidemics can be controlled and then successfully ended. To begin with, it is helpful to think about what Covid-19 epidemics don’t do, which is best summarised in pictures we see which look something like this.
Oxford University shows positive results in the vaccination development
Sunetra Gupta, a professor from Oxford University, who is also an epidemiologist has been tagged as Professor Reopen because of the argument presented on the contrary of lockdowns as a countermeasure against the COVID 19 pandemic.
Professor Gupta explained why most people will not need a Covid-19 vaccine and lockdowns are not a long-term solution to include the spread of coronavirus. “What we have discovered is that in ordinary, healthy individuals, who are not older or frail or do not possess comorbidities, this virus isn’t something to worry about no more than just how we worry about influenza,” professor Gupta educated HT.
Gupta explained that she thinks the coronavirus pandemic will finish and will become part of our lives like the flu. “Hopefully with a lower death toll than influenza. I believe it is fairly easy to generate a vaccine for coronavirus.
From the end of this summer, we must have proof that the vaccine works,” she added. The professor explained the lockdown to keep the virus out for long.
It is a general scenario for all
In this scenario, disease sweeps through the people, slowing people to recover and acquire immunity. The outbreak’s length is dependent on the size of the populace, and new instances finally tail off to zero. We see the symmetric rise and fall reminiscent of the law of Farr and could surmise that some procedure like this was supporting the information which led Farr.
At the end of the outbreak, the percentage who were infected depends on the basic reproduction number of the so-called “R0 value” of this outbreak. Simulations indicate it wouldn’t be much below 80 percent a high figure, for COVID.